A data crossing made by the School of Administration at Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV-SP) in partnership with the consultancy Geografia de Mercado shows that 30% of the Brazilian population live in areas with a high rate of mortality due to COVID-19.
Areas with the most critical situation – led by the cities of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro – also comprise 35.4% of the Brazilian GDP and 34.3% of the entire labor market in the country.
The study, coordinated by Tadeu Masano, a professor at FGV, follows the daily evolution of the pandemic situation in the country, in 561 areas and municipalities, and relates it to regional data on population, GDP and the labor market.
“It is the ‘transportation virus’, it started spreading by air travel and then followed the road infrastructure,” said Masano in an interview with Valor Econômico. The professor intends to increase the study by crossing it with the availability of ICU beds.
The survey reveals that 63.2 million people live in 71% of cases and 75% of deaths from infection with the new coronavirus in Brazil.
The regions monitored by the study were grouped into 6 ranges according to the mortality of the disease, defined from the number of deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. The metropolises of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro are evaluated separately, given the high degree of incidence of the virus and the economic relevance of cities.